Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 40-31 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 52.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 90.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 75.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Lazar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
40
(71 meetings)
31
40
Lazar
Crosby
Last 10: Lazar 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
24
Lazar
Crosby
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
20
13
Lazar
Crosby
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
10
3
Lazar
Crosby
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
52.8% (17,990)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
57.4% (4,733)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
47.1% (765)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Lazar
Crosby
Home
50.1% (1,542)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Lazar
Crosby
P1
48.9%
53.6%
P2
48.9%
53.9%
P3
49.5%
53.3%
OT
56.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |