Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Legwand wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.5% vs Crosby 50.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 87.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 67.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 75.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Legwand
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Legwand
Crosby
Last 7: Legwand 6-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Legwand
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
2
0
Legwand
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
3
0
Legwand
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (892)
49.3% (335)
-4.7%
Power Play
62.3% (114)
54.7% (106)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (90)
28.6% (7)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Legwand has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Legwand is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Legwand shoots left. Crosby is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Legwand
Crosby
Home
48.8% (529)
57.1% (240)
Away
43.8% (580)
42.3% (213)
By Period
Legwand
Crosby
P1
49.7%
55.0%
P2
45.0%
46.3%
P3
44.8%
50.0%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Legwand |