Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.9% vs Crosby 55.1% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 74.6%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 87.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 78.3%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Rodrigues
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Rodrigues
Crosby
Last 9: Rodrigues 2-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Rodrigues
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Rodrigues
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (560)
54.7% (1,423)
-8.1%
Power Play
42.4% (59)
62.1% (327)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
40.8% (76)
+9.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Rodrigues shoots right. Crosby is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (597).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Crosby
Home
48.5% (379)
56.2% (907)
Away
43.5% (276)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Rodrigues
Crosby
P1
48.8%
55.7%
P2
43.8%
55.0%
P3
45.6%
54.9%
OT
77.8%
70.4%
Final 5 min
40.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2019 | OT | 01:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |