Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Crosby 52.3% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 62.9%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 81.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 74.8%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Barbashev
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Barbashev
Crosby
Last 7: Barbashev 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Barbashev
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Barbashev
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
50.8% (1,169)
-12.9%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
60.2% (261)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
45.0% (20)
-4.3%
On even strength, Crosby has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Barbashev is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Barbashev shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Crosby
Home
45.3% (137)
53.2% (726)
Away
36.1% (191)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Barbashev
Crosby
P1
41.8%
51.3%
P2
43.1%
52.1%
P3
31.9%
54.1%
OT
75.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
37.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |