Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Crosby 53.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 59.8%
Defensive zone
Ward 89.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 78.5%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Ward
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Ward
Crosby
Last 10: Ward 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
7
Ward
Crosby
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
5
Ward
Crosby
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Ward
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
52.8% (17,990)
-1.5%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
57.4% (4,733)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
47.1% (765)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Ward
Crosby
Home
50.3% (870)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
46.5% (921)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Ward
Crosby
P1
47.6%
53.6%
P2
47.5%
53.9%
P3
50.3%
53.3%
OT
30.8%
49.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |