Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Danforth wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 52.5% vs Crosby 52.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.9%
Defensive zone
Danforth 71.6%
Neutral zone
Danforth 57.7%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Danforth
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Danforth
Crosby
Last 8: Danforth 2-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Danforth
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Danforth
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (162)
50.8% (1,169)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
60.2% (261)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
45.0% (20)
+6.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Danforth is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Danforth shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Danforth
Crosby
Home
51.9% (81)
53.2% (726)
Away
55.1% (118)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Danforth
Crosby
P1
49.2%
51.3%
P2
50.8%
52.1%
P3
62.9%
54.1%
OT
20.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
57.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |