Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Crosby 53.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 64.4%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 63.9%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 61.4%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Aucoin
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Aucoin
Crosby
Last 8: Aucoin 2-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Aucoin
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Aucoin
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Aucoin
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
52.4% (594)
-4.6%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
57.9% (178)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
62.9% (62)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Aucoin shoots left. Crosby is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Crosby
Home
52.6% (154)
54.6% (421)
Away
45.3% (190)
54.0% (413)
By Period
Aucoin
Crosby
P1
42.5%
56.3%
P2
52.9%
52.5%
P3
52.1%
54.6%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |