Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.7%). Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 51.5% vs Crosby 51.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 66.8%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 59.7%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 60.5%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Chipchura
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chipchura
Crosby
Last 5: Chipchura 2-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Chipchura
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
0
Chipchura
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Chipchura
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (143)
51.9% (1,456)
+1.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
52.8% (392)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
39.0% (59)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Chipchura has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Chipchura is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Chipchura shoots left. Crosby is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Crosby
Home
52.7% (55)
52.4% (976)
Away
52.2% (113)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Chipchura
Crosby
P1
57.4%
51.6%
P2
47.0%
53.1%
P3
54.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
52.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |