Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Komarov wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 49.3% vs Crosby 51.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 54.0%
Defensive zone
Komarov 72.2%
Neutral zone
Komarov 59.8%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Komarov
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Komarov
Crosby
Last 6: Komarov 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Komarov
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Komarov
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
0
Komarov
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (59)
51.9% (1,456)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
52.8% (392)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (64)
39.0% (59)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Komarov has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Komarov is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Komarov shoots left. Crosby is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Komarov
Crosby
Home
52.3% (44)
52.4% (976)
Away
47.0% (83)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Komarov
Crosby
P1
39.3%
51.6%
P2
50.0%
53.1%
P3
54.0%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
48.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | OT | 02:15 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |