Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kruger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 54.0% vs Crosby 52.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.6%
Defensive zone
Kruger 74.7%
Neutral zone
Kruger 51.0%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Kruger
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kruger
Crosby
Last 5: Kruger 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kruger
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Kruger
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (244)
52.5% (1,479)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
55.7% (397)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (38)
47.5% (59)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kruger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Kruger shoots left. Crosby is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Kruger
Crosby
Home
60.0% (135)
54.9% (993)
Away
51.3% (152)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Kruger
Crosby
P1
52.9%
52.2%
P2
58.3%
53.2%
P3
55.6%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
59.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
55.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |