Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Arcobello wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 53.2% vs Crosby 51.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 52.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 62.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Arcobello
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Arcobello
Crosby
Last 5: Arcobello 2-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Arcobello
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
0
Arcobello
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (196)
51.9% (1,456)
-1.4%
Power Play
70.0% (40)
52.8% (392)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
83.3% (6)
39.0% (59)
+44.3%
On penalty kill, Arcobello has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Arcobello is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Arcobello shoots right. Crosby is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Crosby
Home
57.1% (84)
52.4% (976)
Away
53.2% (158)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Arcobello
Crosby
P1
59.7%
51.6%
P2
52.3%
53.1%
P3
51.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |