Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Necas wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Crosby 53.5% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Necas 76.9%
Defensive zone
Necas 68.7%
Neutral zone
Necas 77.8%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Necas
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Necas
Crosby
Last 10: Necas 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
8
Necas
Crosby
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Necas
3
2
Necas
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Necas
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
52.8% (17,990)
-12.1%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
57.4% (4,733)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
47.1% (765)
+7.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Necas shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Necas
Crosby
Home
39.2% (492)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
43.0% (477)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Necas
Crosby
P1
39.9%
53.6%
P2
40.6%
53.9%
P3
43.3%
53.3%
OT
41.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Martin Necas |