Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 39.3% vs Crosby 51.6% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 86.4%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 76.8%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 87.1%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Ribeiro
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Ribeiro
Crosby
Last 8: Ribeiro 1-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Ribeiro
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Ribeiro
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Ribeiro
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (650)
51.9% (1,456)
-14.1%
Power Play
38.9% (108)
52.8% (392)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
39.0% (59)
-39.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Ribeiro is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Ribeiro shoots left. Crosby is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Crosby
Home
37.9% (417)
52.4% (976)
Away
37.9% (343)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Ribeiro
Crosby
P1
38.3%
51.6%
P2
38.8%
53.1%
P3
36.4%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
33.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |