Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.7%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 50.7% vs Crosby 51.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 51.3%
Defensive zone
Marleau 81.2%
Neutral zone
Marleau 66.0%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Marleau
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Marleau
Crosby
Last 8: Marleau 2-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Marleau
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Marleau
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Marleau
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (437)
51.9% (1,456)
-2.9%
Power Play
70.6% (34)
52.8% (392)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (54)
39.0% (59)
+14.7%
On power play, Marleau has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Marleau is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Marleau shoots left. Crosby is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Marleau
Crosby
Home
55.1% (234)
52.4% (976)
Away
47.4% (291)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Marleau
Crosby
P1
56.3%
51.6%
P2
48.5%
53.1%
P3
46.5%
51.0%
OT
83.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
58.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |