Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaustad wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 59.0% vs Crosby 55.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 57.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 59.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Gaustad
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Gaustad
Crosby
Last 10: Gaustad 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Gaustad
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaustad
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Gaustad
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (790)
55.1% (648)
+3.5%
Power Play
66.7% (93)
58.6% (256)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (269)
47.6% (63)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Gaustad shoots left. Crosby is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Crosby
Home
60.6% (554)
57.1% (552)
Away
58.9% (604)
53.8% (429)
By Period
Gaustad
Crosby
P1
61.3%
60.3%
P2
55.5%
55.8%
P3
62.3%
50.8%
OT
75.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |