Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Gaustad wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 55.9% vs Crosby 49.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 95.4%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 74.4%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Gaustad
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Gaustad
Crosby
Last 10: Gaustad 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Gaustad
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
7
0
Gaustad
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
0
Gaustad
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
49.4% (1,194)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
52.6% (350)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (260)
43.4% (53)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Gaustad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Gaustad shoots left. Crosby is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Crosby
Home
58.9% (577)
51.3% (776)
Away
53.7% (520)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Gaustad
Crosby
P1
53.1%
50.5%
P2
57.9%
51.3%
P3
57.8%
47.8%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |