Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 57.0%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Faksa wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 56.2% vs Crosby 56.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.6%
Defensive zone
Faksa 86.0%
Neutral zone
Faksa 60.9%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Faksa
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Faksa
Crosby
Last 9: Faksa 3-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Faksa
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
0
Faksa
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Faksa
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (671)
56.2% (1,451)
+0.7%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
61.4% (293)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (80)
55.3% (38)
-0.3%
On power play, Faksa has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Faksa is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Faksa shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Faksa
Crosby
Home
59.5% (375)
59.1% (939)
Away
54.6% (383)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Faksa
Crosby
P1
61.2%
54.9%
P2
54.5%
60.8%
P3
55.5%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
54.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |