Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Peverley wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 56.6% vs Crosby 53.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 57.4%
Defensive zone
Peverley 77.7%
Neutral zone
Peverley 67.8%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Peverley
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Peverley
Crosby
Last 7: Peverley 6-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peverley
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
4
0
Peverley
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
1
0
Peverley
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (278)
52.4% (594)
+3.7%
Power Play
81.8% (22)
57.9% (178)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (61)
62.9% (62)
-2.2%
On power play, Peverley has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Peverley is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Peverley shoots right. Crosby is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Peverley
Crosby
Home
53.9% (191)
54.6% (421)
Away
63.5% (170)
54.0% (413)
By Period
Peverley
Crosby
P1
60.9%
56.3%
P2
57.9%
52.5%
P3
56.9%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
65.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2013 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |