Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Peverley wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 57.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 25-24 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.7%
Defensive zone
Peverley 73.5%
Neutral zone
Peverley 58.1%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Peverley
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
25
(49 meetings)
24
25
Peverley
Crosby
Last 10: Peverley 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
6
10
Peverley
Crosby
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
9
7
Peverley
Crosby
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
9
8
Peverley
Crosby
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,715)
52.8% (17,990)
+5.2%
Power Play
57.0% (391)
57.4% (4,733)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
59.2% (333)
47.1% (765)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Peverley shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Peverley
Crosby
Home
58.1% (1,266)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
57.9% (1,182)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Peverley
Crosby
P1
59.6%
53.6%
P2
57.8%
53.9%
P3
57.0%
53.3%
OT
51.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
60.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |