Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sheahan wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 46.3% vs Crosby 51.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 64.9%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 83.0%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 73.3%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Sheahan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Sheahan
Crosby
Last 8: Sheahan 2-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Sheahan
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
0
Sheahan
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Sheahan
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (619)
51.9% (1,456)
-6.0%
Power Play
46.7% (45)
52.8% (392)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
39.0% (59)
+5.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Sheahan is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Sheahan shoots left. Crosby is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Crosby
Home
44.8% (402)
52.4% (976)
Away
46.8% (380)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Sheahan
Crosby
P1
48.9%
51.6%
P2
44.8%
53.1%
P3
43.5%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
45.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |