Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Gagner wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.5% vs Crosby 52.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 53.1%
Defensive zone
Gagner 93.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 81.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Gagner
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Gagner
Crosby
Last 7: Gagner 1-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Gagner
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (158)
50.8% (1,169)
+0.5%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
60.2% (261)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
33.6% (110)
45.0% (20)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Gagner shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Gagner
Crosby
Home
53.2% (154)
53.2% (726)
Away
40.0% (150)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Gagner
Crosby
P1
35.6%
51.3%
P2
52.7%
52.1%
P3
51.9%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
34.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |