Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Crosby wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Oshie 50.0% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 53.1%
Defensive zone
Crosby 76.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 59.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Crosby
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Crosby
Oshie
Last 5: Crosby 3-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Crosby
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
0
Crosby
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (676)
51.7% (58)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.7% (171)
49.1% (169)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
54.5% (11)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Crosby is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Crosby shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Crosby
Oshie
Home
57.7% (454)
51.3% (113)
Away
53.5% (434)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Crosby
Oshie
P1
55.9%
53.8%
P2
53.0%
47.5%
P3
57.7%
51.2%
OT
66.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.6%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |