Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kero on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 48.3% vs Kero 45.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Kero leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 72.2%
Defensive zone
Kero 82.8%
Neutral zone
Kero 58.3%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Crosby
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Crosby
Kero
Last 10: Crosby 4-6 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kero
2
3
Crosby
Kero
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
1
2
Crosby
Kero
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Kero
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,360)
45.9% (434)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.8% (357)
50.0% (2)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
25.7% (35)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Crosby is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Crosby shoots left. Kero is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Crosby
Kero
Home
51.0% (867)
47.7% (214)
Away
45.4% (881)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Crosby
Kero
P1
50.8%
44.4%
P2
47.9%
48.5%
P3
46.5%
39.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |