Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.3%). Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 108 meetings). Crosby wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Zajac 54.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 184-180 in 364 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.2%
Defensive zone
Zajac 69.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 50.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Crosby
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
180
-
184
(364 meetings)
180
184
Crosby
Zajac
Last 10: Crosby 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
93
35
Crosby
Zajac
128 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
22
86
Crosby
Zajac
108 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
65
63
Crosby
Zajac
128 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (17,990)
54.4% (9,056)
-1.6%
Power Play
57.4% (4,733)
59.1% (1,498)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (765)
48.6% (1,599)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Crosby shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Crosby
Zajac
Home
55.0% (11,972)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
52.0% (11,535)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Crosby
Zajac
P1
53.6%
53.8%
P2
53.9%
55.6%
P3
53.3%
53.6%
OT
49.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |