Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Crosby wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Zajac 52.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 65.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 88.8%
Neutral zone
Zajac 67.2%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Crosby
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Crosby
Zajac
Last 6: Crosby 2-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
4
Crosby
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (676)
53.9% (851)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.7% (171)
49.0% (49)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
48.9% (190)
-2.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Crosby is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Crosby shoots left. Zajac is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Crosby
Zajac
Home
57.7% (454)
53.3% (533)
Away
53.5% (434)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Crosby
Zajac
P1
55.9%
54.3%
P2
53.0%
51.8%
P3
57.7%
53.2%
OT
66.7%
14.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.6%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |