Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.5% vs Frederic 54.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.7%
Defensive zone
Frederic 69.8%
Neutral zone
Frederic 54.4%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Crosby
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Crosby
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Frederic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Crosby
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (984)
57.6% (151)
-3.9%
Power Play
64.7% (241)
66.7% (3)
-2.0%
On even strength, Frederic has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Crosby shoots left. Frederic is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Crosby
Frederic
Home
56.9% (649)
55.6% (81)
Away
54.9% (590)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Crosby
Frederic
P1
55.8%
57.7%
P2
53.2%
54.3%
P3
58.7%
60.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |