Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 52.9%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Crosby wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.3% vs Frederic 51.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Frederic leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 66.6%
Defensive zone
Frederic 64.7%
Neutral zone
Frederic 50.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Crosby
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Crosby
Frederic
Last 10: Crosby 4-6 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
2
Crosby
Frederic
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
2
Crosby
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Crosby
Frederic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (996)
53.7% (67)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.5% (215)
50.0% (2)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
0.0% (1)
+39.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Crosby is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Crosby shoots left. Frederic is 65.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Crosby
Frederic
Home
55.8% (615)
50.0% (48)
Away
51.5% (647)
59.1% (22)
By Period
Crosby
Frederic
P1
58.7%
40.9%
P2
50.0%
55.6%
P3
51.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.6%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |