Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Crosby wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.9% vs Lewis 46.4% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 62.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 56.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 53.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Crosby
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Crosby
Lewis
Last 6: Crosby 3-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Crosby
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,479)
39.8% (88)
+12.7%
Power Play
55.7% (397)
50.0% (10)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (59)
63.6% (11)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Lewis has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Crosby is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (736).
Crosby shoots left. Lewis is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Crosby
Lewis
Home
54.9% (993)
37.9% (58)
Away
51.1% (942)
49.0% (51)
By Period
Crosby
Lewis
P1
52.2%
43.9%
P2
53.2%
45.9%
P3
53.4%
36.7%
OT
59.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |