Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 42 meetings). Crosby wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 62-42 in 104 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 93.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 57.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 79.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Crosby
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
62
-
42
(104 meetings)
62
42
Crosby
Smith
Last 10: Crosby 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
35
7
Crosby
Smith
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
7
13
Crosby
Smith
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
20
22
Crosby
Smith
42 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (17,990)
51.6% (5,265)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.4% (4,733)
51.2% (342)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (765)
45.3% (985)
+1.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Crosby shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Crosby
Smith
Home
55.0% (11,972)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
52.0% (11,535)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Crosby
Smith
P1
53.6%
49.9%
P2
53.9%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
51.9%
OT
49.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Zack Smith |