Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.9% vs Smith 48.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 64.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 78.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Crosby
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Crosby
Smith
Last 9: Crosby 6-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
1
Crosby
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
1
Crosby
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,479)
49.7% (485)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.7% (397)
46.8% (47)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (59)
38.6% (88)
+8.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Crosby is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Crosby shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Crosby
Smith
Home
54.9% (993)
48.7% (310)
Away
51.1% (942)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Crosby
Smith
P1
52.2%
45.8%
P2
53.2%
47.4%
P3
53.4%
50.5%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Zack Smith |