Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Costa wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Costa 41.5% vs Bozak 52.5% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 76.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 74.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 79.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Costa
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Costa
Bozak
Last 6: Costa 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Costa
2
0
Costa
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Costa
2
0
Costa
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Costa
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Costa
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (142)
51.7% (913)
-14.4%
Power Play
32.3% (31)
55.9% (211)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
54.9% (51)
+11.8%
On power play, Bozak has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Costa is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Costa shoots right. Bozak is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Costa
Bozak
Home
40.5% (79)
52.8% (615)
Away
33.7% (98)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Costa
Bozak
P1
38.6%
52.5%
P2
39.2%
51.1%
P3
33.3%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Costa
44.0%▬
43.5%
36.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Stephane Da Costa |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Stephane Da Costa |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Stephane Da Costa |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Stephane Da Costa |