Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Flynn wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 56.1% vs Gionta 43.1% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Flynn 52.3%
Defensive zone
Flynn 81.4%
Neutral zone
Flynn 65.1%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Flynn
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Flynn
Gionta
Last 7: Flynn 4-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
1
Flynn
Gionta
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Flynn
Gionta
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (251)
41.8% (612)
+14.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
61.5% (13)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (89)
40.9% (66)
+18.7%
On power play, Flynn has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Flynn is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Flynn shoots right. Gionta is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Flynn
Gionta
Home
61.0% (177)
41.3% (344)
Away
54.4% (169)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Flynn
Gionta
P1
56.8%
39.8%
P2
60.0%
46.8%
P3
55.8%
39.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
57.8%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |