Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Soderberg wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 44.2% vs Gionta 42.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 76.4%
Defensive zone
Gionta 72.8%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 55.8%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Soderberg
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Soderberg
Gionta
Last 7: Soderberg 4-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Gionta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Soderberg
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Soderberg
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (318)
40.5% (526)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
50.0% (2)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.3% (53)
-45.3%
On penalty kill, Gionta has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Soderberg is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Soderberg shoots left. Gionta is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Gionta
Home
45.5% (123)
46.3% (300)
Away
40.5% (205)
35.2% (281)
By Period
Soderberg
Gionta
P1
47.1%
41.8%
P2
41.7%
42.0%
P3
40.2%
38.7%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.4%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |