Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Gionta 38.2% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 66.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 88.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 86.6%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Nielsen
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nielsen
Gionta
Last 5: Nielsen 4-1 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (392)
35.5% (335)
+14.5%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
66.7% (3)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (146)
30.8% (52)
+9.6%
On even strength, Nielsen has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Nielsen is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Nielsen shoots left. Gionta is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Gionta
Home
48.9% (274)
34.9% (186)
Away
47.2% (284)
35.3% (204)
By Period
Nielsen
Gionta
P1
47.9%
32.5%
P2
49.7%
29.7%
P3
46.3%
42.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |