Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.1% vs Gionta 42.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 52.4%
Defensive zone
Gionta 50.9%
Neutral zone
Gionta 53.7%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Larsson
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larsson
Gionta
Last 6: Larsson 3-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
3
Larsson
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (258)
40.5% (526)
+7.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (2)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
45.3% (53)
-5.3%
On power play, Gionta has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Larsson is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Larsson shoots left. Gionta is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Larsson
Gionta
Home
46.8% (154)
46.3% (300)
Away
48.1% (131)
35.2% (281)
By Period
Larsson
Gionta
P1
50.5%
41.8%
P2
48.5%
42.0%
P3
43.2%
38.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
47.4%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |