Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.1% vs Gionta 38.2% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 80.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 87.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Staal
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Gionta
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (662)
35.5% (335)
+14.2%
Power Play
61.2% (103)
66.7% (3)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (149)
30.8% (52)
+13.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Staal is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Staal shoots left. Gionta is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Staal
Gionta
Home
50.0% (446)
34.9% (186)
Away
50.2% (468)
35.3% (204)
By Period
Staal
Gionta
P1
50.0%
32.5%
P2
49.5%
29.7%
P3
50.5%
42.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |