Scouting Report
Max McCormick holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCormick on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McCormick wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 50.6% vs Gionta 43.1% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
McCormick leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McCormick 94.1%
Defensive zone
McCormick 80.6%
Neutral zone
McCormick 78.9%
Result
Max McCormick favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
McCormick
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
McCormick
Gionta
Last 10: McCormick 8-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
5
1
McCormick
Gionta
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
4
0
McCormick
Gionta
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCormick
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (75)
41.8% (612)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.9% (66)
-40.9%
On penalty kill, Gionta has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. McCormick is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (30).
McCormick shoots left. Gionta is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
McCormick
Gionta
Home
40.5% (42)
41.3% (344)
Away
64.7% (34)
42.9% (347)
By Period
McCormick
Gionta
P1
58.1%
39.8%
P2
36.0%
46.8%
P3
60.0%
39.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
54.0%▲
51.6%
51.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Max McCormick |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Max McCormick |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Max McCormick |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Max McCormick |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Max McCormick |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Max McCormick |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Max McCormick |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Max McCormick |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Max McCormick |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Max McCormick |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Max McCormick |