Scouting Report
Max Talbot holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Talbot wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.1% vs Gionta 43.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Talbot 54.9%
Defensive zone
Talbot 62.9%
Neutral zone
Talbot 56.9%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Talbot
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Talbot
Gionta
Last 7: Talbot 4-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Gionta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
Gionta
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (285)
41.8% (612)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
61.5% (13)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
40.9% (66)
-5.1%
On even strength, Talbot has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Talbot is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Talbot shoots left. Gionta is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Talbot
Gionta
Home
47.8% (203)
41.3% (344)
Away
47.2% (142)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Talbot
Gionta
P1
52.5%
39.8%
P2
38.3%
46.8%
P3
52.3%
39.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Max Talbot |