Nathan MacKinnon vs Stephen Gionta
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 47.5% vs Gionta 42.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.8%
Defensive zone
Gionta 64.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.4%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
MacKinnon
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Gionta
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
MacKinnon
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Gionta
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (365)
40.3% (303)
+4.9%
Power Play
57.1% (63)
66.7% (6)
-9.6%
On power play, Gionta has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. MacKinnon is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (129).
MacKinnon shoots right. Gionta is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Gionta
Home
48.0% (225)
42.8% (166)
Away
45.8% (203)
38.6% (228)
By Period
MacKinnon
Gionta
P1
41.1%
41.7%
P2
49.6%
42.3%
P3
48.9%
37.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |