Scouting Report
Phil Varone holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 46.2% vs Gionta 42.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 64.0%
Defensive zone
Gionta 61.6%
Neutral zone
Gionta 56.1%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Varone
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Varone
Gionta
Last 6: Varone 3-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
0
Varone
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
3
Varone
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
2
0
Varone
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
40.3% (303)
+5.1%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
66.7% (6)
-30.3%
On power play, Gionta has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Varone is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Varone shoots left. Gionta is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Varone
Gionta
Home
44.5% (119)
42.8% (166)
Away
45.4% (207)
38.6% (228)
By Period
Varone
Gionta
P1
44.5%
41.7%
P2
38.6%
42.3%
P3
53.5%
37.8%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2015 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phil Varone |