Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gionta wins 34.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 38.2% vs Stamkos 49.6% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 83.9%
Defensive zone
Gionta 81.0%
Neutral zone
Gionta 81.1%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Gionta
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Gionta
Stamkos
Last 8: Gionta 1-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Gionta
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Gionta
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Gionta
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
35.5% (335)
48.1% (669)
-12.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.2% (110)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
50.0% (40)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Gionta is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Gionta shoots right. Stamkos is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Gionta
Stamkos
Home
34.9% (186)
52.0% (402)
Away
35.3% (204)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Gionta
Stamkos
P1
32.5%
46.3%
P2
29.7%
52.4%
P3
42.5%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |