Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gionta wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 48.2% vs Zajac 54.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 76.4%
Defensive zone
Gionta 75.9%
Neutral zone
Gionta 73.9%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Gionta
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Gionta
Zajac
Last 8: Gionta 2-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
4
Gionta
Zajac
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Gionta
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
2
1
Gionta
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (86)
54.1% (1,208)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.9% (230)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
50.3% (179)
-6.5%
On power play, Zajac has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Gionta is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Gionta shoots right. Zajac is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Gionta
Zajac
Home
48.0% (50)
56.3% (778)
Away
45.7% (70)
53.2% (839)
By Period
Gionta
Zajac
P1
55.8%
56.3%
P2
40.5%
54.6%
P3
42.9%
53.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |