Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gionta wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 41.2% vs Brouwer 50.5% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 56.1%
Defensive zone
Gionta 68.3%
Neutral zone
Gionta 57.8%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Gionta
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gionta
Brouwer
Last 8: Gionta 3-5 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
3
Gionta
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
2
Gionta
Brouwer
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (1,902)
50.3% (702)
-9.7%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
53.7% (551)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (292)
46.6% (412)
-6.5%
On even strength, Brouwer has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Gionta is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Gionta shoots right. Brouwer is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Gionta
Brouwer
Home
42.6% (1,074)
53.5% (854)
Away
39.1% (1,147)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Gionta
Brouwer
P1
40.8%
51.4%
P2
41.8%
49.3%
P3
39.8%
51.2%
OT
35.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
39.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |