Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gionta wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.3% vs Brouwer 55.6% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 56.1%
Defensive zone
Gionta 77.1%
Neutral zone
Gionta 65.5%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Gionta
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gionta
Brouwer
Last 7: Gionta 2-5 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
3
Gionta
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gionta
Brouwer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (303)
56.1% (171)
-15.8%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
60.0% (170)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (85)
53.0% (100)
-14.2%
On even strength, Brouwer has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Gionta is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Gionta shoots right. Brouwer is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Gionta
Brouwer
Home
42.8% (166)
61.8% (225)
Away
38.6% (228)
51.9% (216)
By Period
Gionta
Brouwer
P1
41.7%
57.8%
P2
42.3%
49.0%
P3
37.8%
65.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |