Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Gionta wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 41.2% vs Bozak 53.4% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 64.7%
Defensive zone
Gionta 60.4%
Neutral zone
Gionta 61.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Gionta
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Gionta
Bozak
Last 10: Gionta 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
9
Gionta
Bozak
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
2
Gionta
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
5
1
Gionta
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (1,902)
53.7% (9,596)
-13.1%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
55.2% (1,990)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (292)
48.0% (1,094)
-7.9%
On even strength, Bozak has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gionta is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Gionta shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Gionta
Bozak
Home
42.6% (1,074)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
39.1% (1,147)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Gionta
Bozak
P1
40.8%
53.2%
P2
41.8%
52.8%
P3
39.8%
54.5%
OT
35.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
39.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 12, 2014 | OT | 00:45 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |