Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gionta wins 34.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 38.2% vs Bozak 52.4% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 70.5%
Defensive zone
Gionta 72.4%
Neutral zone
Gionta 73.6%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Gionta
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gionta
Bozak
Last 5: Gionta 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Gionta
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Gionta
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
35.5% (335)
52.8% (697)
-17.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
50.9% (171)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
53.3% (195)
-22.5%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gionta is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Gionta shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Gionta
Bozak
Home
34.9% (186)
52.1% (530)
Away
35.3% (204)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Gionta
Bozak
P1
32.5%
54.1%
P2
29.7%
50.6%
P3
42.5%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |