Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gionta wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 43.1% vs Bozak 55.8% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Gionta leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 91.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 58.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 76.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Gionta
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Gionta
Bozak
Last 10: Gionta 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Gionta
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
2
0
Gionta
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
4
0
Gionta
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (612)
56.4% (837)
-14.6%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
60.8% (186)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (66)
33.3% (36)
+7.6%
On even strength, Bozak has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gionta is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Gionta shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Gionta
Bozak
Home
41.3% (344)
58.7% (516)
Away
42.9% (347)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Gionta
Bozak
P1
39.8%
55.7%
P2
46.8%
53.4%
P3
39.5%
59.7%
OT
0.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
35.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |