Scouting Report
Tyler Ennis holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gionta wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 38.2% vs Ennis 43.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 63.6%
Defensive zone
Gionta 58.6%
Neutral zone
Ennis 51.4%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Gionta
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gionta
Ennis
Last 6: Gionta 3-3 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
0
1
Gionta
Ennis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
2
Gionta
Ennis
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
35.5% (335)
39.8% (329)
-4.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.6% (45)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
66.7% (3)
-35.9%
On penalty kill, Ennis has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Gionta is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Gionta shoots right. Ennis is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Gionta
Ennis
Home
34.9% (186)
44.5% (191)
Away
35.3% (204)
39.2% (186)
By Period
Gionta
Ennis
P1
32.5%
42.7%
P2
29.7%
37.7%
P3
42.5%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:22 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |