Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Gionta wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 41.2% vs Rask 50.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Gionta leads 20-14 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 95.0%
Defensive zone
Rask 60.8%
Neutral zone
Rask 84.1%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Gionta
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
14
(34 meetings)
20
14
Gionta
Rask
Last 10: Gionta 6-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
5
Gionta
Rask
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
9
3
Gionta
Rask
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
10
6
Gionta
Rask
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (1,902)
50.0% (4,428)
-9.4%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
54.3% (363)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (292)
35.2% (54)
+4.9%
On even strength, Rask has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Gionta shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Gionta
Rask
Home
42.6% (1,074)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
39.1% (1,147)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Gionta
Rask
P1
40.8%
50.7%
P2
41.8%
48.9%
P3
39.8%
50.7%
OT
35.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
39.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Victor Rask |