Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gionta wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.3% vs Rask 50.9% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Gionta leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 91.7%
Defensive zone
Rask 61.4%
Neutral zone
Rask 79.9%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Gionta
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Gionta
Rask
Last 10: Gionta 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Gionta
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
4
1
Gionta
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
2
Gionta
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (303)
51.4% (863)
-11.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
55.9% (34)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (85)
23.8% (21)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Gionta has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Gionta is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Gionta shoots right. Rask is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Gionta
Rask
Home
42.8% (166)
53.2% (494)
Away
38.6% (228)
48.3% (424)
By Period
Gionta
Rask
P1
41.7%
49.2%
P2
42.3%
48.9%
P3
37.8%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
38.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Victor Rask |